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Kristaps Porzingis

Kristaps Porzingis Points
Player Prop - 3/20/2024

Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks

 
 
 
Kristaps Porzingis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Kristaps Porzingis has sunk 3.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's sunk in all games this season.
  • The matchup vs. the Bucks is a positive one for threes; the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the 7th-most three-point shots per game in the NBA this year (1.8).
  • The Bucks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to more possessions for the Boston Celtics.
  • The Boston Celtics rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
  • Kristaps Porzingis has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 14.3% more than he's sunk overall this year with the home court advantage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Kristaps Porzingis has averaged 2.7 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 90th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
  • The 4th-least up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Boston Celtics.
  • As a team, the Celtics have been quite unsuccesful at drawing fouls of late: worst in the league over the last 20 games, drawing a measly 17.0 foul shot attempts per game.
  • The matchup against the Bucks may be a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.6 foul shots per game over the last 25 games (least in the league).

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