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Kristaps Porzingis

Kristaps Porzingis Points
Player Prop - 2/27/2024

Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers

Kristaps Porzingis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kristaps Porzingis has scored 24.6 points per game over the last 5 games while at home, 4.2 more than he's scored in all games this season at home.

The number of three-point shots sunk against Paul Reed has been very high (0.7 per game) when he is on the visiting team and squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year (77th percentile).

The Celtics rank as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Kristaps Porzingis has made 5.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's made in all games this season.

Kristaps Porzingis stands to see an increase in effectiveness in all facets of the game due to controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Kristaps Porzingis measures in the 93rd percentile for personal fouls, compiling a colossal 2.8 fouls per game this year.

The Celtics have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 10th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease possessions for the Celtics.

Over the last 25 games, their opposition has grabbed 11.7 offensive rebounds per game (4th-highest in the league) vs. the 76ers (preserving possessions that can create further opportunities for offense).

In regard to drawing fouls, the Boston Celtics's feeble 17.1 free throws per game rates worst in the NBA over the last 10 games.

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