Kristaps Porzingis Points - Player Prop Bet 2/9/2024

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Kristaps Porzingis

NBA · Player Props

Kristaps Porzingis

F-C · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Washington Wizards · Feb 9, 2024

Updated Feb 10, 2024 4:02 AM EST

Analysis

Kristaps Porzingis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (+104/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kristaps Porzingis has sunk 8.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year.
Kristaps Porzingis has been on the court for 29.8 minutes per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have averaged 32.4% on three-pointers (4th-weakest in the NBA) vs. the Wizards, identifying this as a tough matchup.
The showdown with Anthony Gill slots into just the 96th percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs notching a whopping 17.7 points per game this year when they are at home.
The Wizards have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should raise plays for the Boston Celtics.

Favors Under

Kristaps Porzingis has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league (93rd percentile).
With respect to offense, the Boston Celtics's feeble 115.1 points per game while on their home court settles in as the 10th-worst in the NBA over the last 8 games.
The 9th-most sluggish pace team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Boston Celtics.
This year, opposing clubs have come down with 12.9 offensive boards per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Wizards (maintaining possessions that can bring about more opportunities for offense).

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