Kristaps Porzingis Points - Player Prop Bet 2/1/2024

NBA · Player Props

Kristaps Porzingis

F-C · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Los Angeles Lakers · Feb 1, 2024

Updated Feb 2, 2024 3:52 AM EST

Analysis

Kristaps Porzingis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-137/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kristaps Porzingis has made 3.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's made from downtown overall this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Kristaps Porzingis lands in the 76th percentile for playing time, posting a colossal 29.9 minutes per game while at home this year.
The Celtics will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the fastest tempo team in the league over the last 20 games (the Los Angeles Lakers).
The Celtics check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
Kristaps Porzingis will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage generally boosts stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

In contrast to last season's 7.8 rate, Kristaps Porzingis's shots from the field made have tailed off this season to 6.4 per game.
Among all players in the league, Kristaps Porzingis rates in the 95th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a colossal 2.9 fouls per game this year.
The matchup vs. Jaxson Hayes is a hard one for field goals; when Hayes is on the visiting team and matched up against opposing starting Cs this year, they have made a mere 50.0% of their field goals (3rd percentile).
The 3rd-slowest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Celtics.
Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, their opposition has secured 11.2 offensive rebounds per game (7th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers (saving possessions that can produce more chances for offense).