Kristaps Porzingis Points - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2024

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Kristaps Porzingis

NBA · Player Props

Kristaps Porzingis

F-C · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 29, 2024

Updated Jan 29, 2024 10:52 PM EST

Analysis

Kristaps Porzingis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-135/+105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Boston Celtics will likely see a rise in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, and the Boston Celtics grade out 6thbest in in the league with 11.5 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.
This year when they are at home, opposing teams have grabbed 9.1 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the league) against the New Orleans Pelicans (shortening possessions that could otherwise lead to added chances for offense).

Favors Under

The matchup against the Pelicans is a tough one; they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting PFs over the last 20 games (15.1).
The Celtics have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games on their home court.
The matchup against the Pelicans may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PFs have attempted just 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (9th-least in the NBA).

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