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Kristaps Porzingis

Kristaps Porzingis Points
Player Prop - 1/25/2024

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

 
 
 
Kristaps Porzingis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-143/+107).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ +108 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ +107.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Kristaps Porzingis has sunk 2.6 treys per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's made from 3-point range overall this year.
  • Kristaps Porzingis has been on the court for 30.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 78th percentile.
  • The Boston Celtics have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while on the road.
  • Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Celtics rank 6thbest in in the league with 11.5 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.
  • The Miami Heat have allowed the least offensive boards per game (9.6) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Among all players in the NBA, Kristaps Porzingis ranks in the 91st percentile for personal fouls, logging a colossal 2.8 fouls per game when playing away from home this year.
  • The Boston Celtics rank as the 9th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while on the road this year.
  • The number of points logged against Bam Adebayo has been very low (11.7 per game) when defending other starting Cs this year (3rd percentile).
  • The Celtics are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA this year (the Heat).
  • The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs against Bam Adebayo has been remarkably low this year (2.7 free throw attempts per game: 14th percentile).

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