Kristaps Porzingis Points - Player Prop Bet 1/22/2024

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Kristaps Porzingis

NBA · Player Props

Kristaps Porzingis

F-C · Boston Celtics

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Boston Celtics · Jan 22, 2024

Updated Jan 22, 2024 6:54 PM EST

Analysis

Kristaps Porzingis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-125/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Celtics have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should raise possessions for the Celtics.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, and the Celtics rank 14thbest in in the league while on the road with 12.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

With respect to offense, the Celtics's poor 45.0% field goal percentage when playing away from home rates 5th-weakest in the league over the last 5 games.
While at home, the Dallas Mavericks have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.7) in the league to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, the other team has attempted 29.6 foul shots per game (most in the NBA) against the Dallas Mavericks, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

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