Kristaps Porzingis Points - Player Prop Bet 1/21/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Kristaps Porzingis

F-C · Boston Celtics

Points

Houston Rockets vs Boston Celtics · Jan 21, 2024

Updated Jan 22, 2024 2:52 AM EST

Analysis

Kristaps Porzingis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Kristaps Porzingis registers in the 87th percentile, totaling a monstrous 19.1 points per game this year.
Out of all players in the league, Kristaps Porzingis comes in at the 78th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 29.9 minutes per game this year.
When on his home court and defending fellow starting Cs, Alperen Sengun slots into the 93rd percentile with a monstrous 2.4 threes attempted against him per game this year.
The Celtics are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 10th-quickest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Rockets).
The Celtics check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games as the road team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Kristaps Porzingis measures in the 88th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a monstrous 2.7 fouls per game without the home court advantage this year.
As it relates to offense, the Boston Celtics's subpar 44.1% field goal rate settles in as the 6th-lowest in the league over the last 5 games.
The 8th-least up-tempo pace team in the league this year has been the Celtics.
Over the last 20 games, opposing clubs have attempted 26.8 free throws per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Rockets, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.
Kristaps Porzingis is expected to see a decline in production in all facets of the game as a result of playing on the visting team in this contest.