Kristaps Porzingis Points - Player Prop Bet 1/19/2024

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Kristaps Porzingis

NBA · Player Props

Kristaps Porzingis

F-C · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 19, 2024

Updated Jan 20, 2024 3:51 AM EST

Analysis

Kristaps Porzingis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. Nikola Jokic is a favorable one for field goal attempts; when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a massive 11.3 shots made from the field per game (96th percentile).
This year when they are at home, their opposition has come down with 10.1 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Nuggets (turning over possessions that could otherwise lead to additional chances for offense).
The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs against Nikola Jokic has been remarkably high this year (4.4 foul shot attempts per game when they are playing at home: 90th percentile).

Favors Under

This matchup is a good one for 3-pointers; opposing squads have put up the 9th-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA over the last 10 games while on the road (39.3%).
The Celtics will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from facing the 3rd-most lethargic tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Denver Nuggets).

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