Kristaps Porzingis Points - Player Prop Bet 1/8/2024

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Kristaps Porzingis

NBA · Player Props

Kristaps Porzingis

F-C · Boston Celtics

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Boston Celtics · Jan 8, 2024

Updated Jan 9, 2024 2:57 AM EST

Analysis

Kristaps Porzingis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kristaps Porzingis has compiled 19.8 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league in this category: 87th percentile.
Among all players in the league, Kristaps Porzingis places in the 76th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 29.7 minutes per game this year.
This year, opposing teams have tallied 28.3 3-point attempts per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Pacers, labeling this as a challenging matchup.
The 9th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Celtics.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Boston Celtics.

Favors Under

Kristaps Porzingis has tallied 2.7 personal fouls per game while on the road this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Celtics rank as the 9th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA when playing on the road this year.
The number of points compiled against Myles Turner has been quite low (10.9 per game) when he is on his home court and squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year (3rd percentile).
Over the last 10 games when they are away from home, their opposition has brought down 12.8 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Pacers (retaining possessions that can produce more chances for offense).
Kristaps Porzingis will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally lowers player performance in all facets of the game.

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