Kristaps Porzingis Points - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2024

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Kristaps Porzingis

NBA · Player Props

Kristaps Porzingis

F-C · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Utah Jazz · Jan 5, 2024

Updated Jan 6, 2024 3:25 AM EST

Analysis

Kristaps Porzingis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kristaps Porzingis has notched 27.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.4 higher than he's notched over the course of the year.
Kristaps Porzingis has attempted 5.3 shots from downtown per game this year, putting him in the 81st percentile out of all players in the league.
Among all players in the league, Kristaps Porzingis lands in the 75th percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 29.7 minutes per game on his home court this year.
The Jazz have played at the 7th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Boston Celtics.
Offensive rebounds save possession and create extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Celtics grade out 2ndbest in in the league with 13.1 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

The faceoff with John Collins places in the 3rd percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs sinking just 0.3 three-point shots per game this year.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 4th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.
Over the last 15 games when they are at home, opposing squads have secured 11.8 offensive rebounds per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Jazz (lengthening possessions that can lead to more chances for offense).
As it relates to getting to the charity stripe, the Celtics's unimpressive 18.6 foul shot attempts per game while on their home court rates 4th-worst in the league over the last 5 games.

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