Kristaps Porzingis Points - Player Prop Bet 12/31/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Kristaps Porzingis

F-C · Boston Celtics

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Boston Celtics · Dec 31, 2023

Updated Jan 1, 2024 2:52 AM EST

Analysis

Kristaps Porzingis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kristaps Porzingis has registered 24.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 3.7 higher than he's registered overall this season.
Kristaps Porzingis has tallied 30.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 79th percentile.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to more plays for the Boston Celtics.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to added chances for scoring and assists, and the Celtics grade out 13thbest in in the NBA as the away team with 14.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Among all players in the league, Kristaps Porzingis comes in at the 94th percentile for foul shots scored, posting a monstrous 4.6 per game this year.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Kristaps Porzingis measures in the 94th percentile for personal fouls, logging a colossal 3.2 fouls per game without the home court advantage this year.
The Boston Celtics have been the 6th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA while playing on the road this year.
The matchup against San Antonio is a difficult one; when the San Antonio Spurs are playing at home, they have allowed the 12th-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PFs over the last 5 games (13.0).
The 3rd-least up-tempo pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Boston Celtics.
The San Antonio Spurs have allowed the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (12.1) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).