Kristaps Porzingis Points - Player Prop Bet 12/15/2023

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Kristaps Porzingis

NBA · Player Props

Kristaps Porzingis

F-C · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Orlando Magic · Dec 15, 2023

Updated Dec 15, 2023 5:48 PM EST

Analysis

Kristaps Porzingis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-111/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

As it relates to offense, the Boston Celtics's fantastic 123.0 points per game comes in as the 6th-best in the NBA this year.
The Celtics will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 8th-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Magic).
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing teams have captured 9.3 offensive boards per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Magic (lessening possessions that could otherwise bring about extra opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

The 4th-slowest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are the visiting team, their opposition has attempted 25.3 foul shots per game (5th-most in the NBA) vs. the Orlando Magic, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

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