Kristaps Porzingis Points - Player Prop Bet 12/12/2023

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Kristaps Porzingis

NBA · Player Props

Kristaps Porzingis

F-C · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Dec 12, 2023

Updated Dec 13, 2023 12:43 AM EST

Analysis

Kristaps Porzingis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

As it relates to shooting, the Celtics's impressive 124.0 points per game ranks 4th-strongest in the league this year.
This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting Cs have attempted 4.8 foul shots per game (28th-highest in the league) against the Cleveland Cavaliers, making it fairly effortless to draw fouls.
Kristaps Porzingis will enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home generally improves player production across the board.

Favors Under

Kristaps Porzingis has put up just 19.1 points per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 23.2 points per game last season.
Among all players in the NBA, Kristaps Porzingis registers in the 96th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a colossal 3.3 fouls per game on his home court this year.
The matchup vs. Cleveland is a hard one for three-point attempts; when the Cavaliers are at home, the other team's starting Cs have averaged the 13th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (1.1).
The 6th-slowest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Boston Celtics.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games on the road, which should decrease plays for the Celtics.

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