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Kristaps Porzingis

Kristaps Porzingis Points
Player Prop - 11/17/2023

Toronto Raptors vs Boston Celtics

Kristaps Porzingis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Compared to last year's 23.3 clip, Kristaps Porzingis's points per game have surged this year to 23.2.

Kristaps Porzingis has sunk a whopping 57.0% of his shots from the field this year, a sizeable increase from his 49.9 rate last year.

The Boston Celtics rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league this year.

This year, their opposition has grabbed 10.2 offensive boards per game (8th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Toronto Raptors (losing possessions that could otherwise bring about bonus opportunities for offense).

Relative to last year's 6.4 rate, Kristaps Porzingis's number of foul shot attempts has risen this year to 7.2 foul shot attempts per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kristaps Porzingis has tallied 3.4 personal fouls per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.

The matchup vs. Toronto is a hard one for 3-pointers; when the Raptors are playing at home, the other team's starting Cs have put up the 12th-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (20.9%).

The most sluggish pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Boston Celtics.

The Toronto Raptors have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Celtics.

The Celtics rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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