Kristaps Porzingis Points - Player Prop Bet 11/13/2023

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Kristaps Porzingis

NBA · Player Props

Kristaps Porzingis

F-C · Boston Celtics

Points

Boston Celtics vs New York Knicks · Nov 13, 2023

Updated Nov 14, 2023 3:49 AM EST

Analysis

Kristaps Porzingis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-135/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kristaps Porzingis has made a whopping 56.3% of his shot attempts from the field this year, significantly higher than his 49.9 mark last year.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce added chances for scoring and assists, and the Celtics grade out 7thbest in in the league when playing on the road with 11.8 offensive boards per game over the last 8 games.
At home, the New York Knicks have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Kristaps Porzingis should get a boost in performance for all stats considering owning the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Kristaps Porzingis has compiled a lowly 19.6 points per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 23.2 points per game last year.
Kristaps Porzingis has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The matchup vs. New York is a difficult one; when the Knicks are at home, they have allowed the 11th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting Cs this year (10.0).
The 10th-most sluggish tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Celtics.
The Knicks have played at the 3rd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA this year, which should reduce plays for the {OPP_TEAM}.

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