Kristaps Porzingis Points - Player Prop Bet 11/8/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Kristaps Porzingis

F-C · Boston Celtics

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics · Nov 8, 2023

Updated Nov 9, 2023 12:03 AM EST

Analysis

Kristaps Porzingis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last season's 23.3 mark, Kristaps Porzingis's points per game have increased this season to 21.8.
In comparison to last year's 2.2 mark, Kristaps Porzingis's threes scored have increased this year to 2.3 per game.
Kristaps Porzingis has played 31.9 minutes per game while playing on the road since the start of last season, putting him in the 85th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The Celtics check in as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league playing at home since the start of last season.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 10th-fastest pace-of-play in the league this year.

Favors Under

Kristaps Porzingis has committed 3.3 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 91st percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The matchup against the 76ers is a challenging one; they have allowed the 15th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting Cs since the start of last season (11.4).
The Celtics check in as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Since the start of last season when they are on the road, the other team's starting Cs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (15th-lowest in the league) against the Philadelphia 76ers, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.
Kristaps Porzingis will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to reduce player performance across the board.