Kristaps Porzingis Points - Player Prop Bet 3/21/2023

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Kristaps Porzingis

NBA · Player Props

Kristaps Porzingis

F-C · Washington Wizards

Points

Orlando Magic vs Washington Wizards · Mar 21, 2023

Updated Mar 21, 2023 11:11 PM EST

Analysis

Kristaps Porzingis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-102/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kristaps Porzingis has scored 21.2 points per game on the road this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile -- among the league leaders by this metric.
Kristaps Porzingis has attempted 4.8 3-point shots per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 80th percentile out of all players in the league.
Kristaps Porzingis has been on the court for 32.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 85th percentile.
The Washington Wizards check in as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage.
The Magic have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which ought to increase opportunities for the Wizards.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Orlando is a difficult one for three-pointers; when the Magic are at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have compiled the 15th-lowest three rate in the NBA this year (24.1%).
The Washington Wizards have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court.
The Washington Wizards rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Kristaps Porzingis will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium usually lowers stat production in all stat categories.

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