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Kristaps Porzingis

Kristaps Porzingis Points
Player Prop - 3/4/2023

Washington Wizards vs Toronto Raptors

Kristaps Porzingis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kristaps Porzingis has posted 25.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.2 higher than he's posted in all games this year.

Kristaps Porzingis has sunk 55.3% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 27.0% more than he's made from three over the course of the year.

The Washington Wizards have played at the 10th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

While on the road, the Raptors have given up the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the league to opposing teams over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

As a team, the Washington Wizards have been terrific at drawing fouls while on their home court: 10th-best in the NBA this year, drawing 23.0 foul shot attempts per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kristaps Porzingis has tallied 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the league (91st percentile).

The matchup vs. Toronto is a hard one; when the Raptors are the visiting team, they have given up the 13th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PFs this year (12.6).

The Raptors have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should decrease possessions for the Wizards.

The Washington Wizards check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup against Toronto is a hard one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.2 foul shots per game this year when the Raptors are away from home (15th-least in the league).

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