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Kristaps Porzingis

Kristaps Porzingis Points
Player Prop - 3/2/2023

Washington Wizards vs Toronto Raptors

Kristaps Porzingis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-105/-123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Kristaps Porzingis has posted 25.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.2 more than he's posted in all games this year.

Kristaps Porzingis has sunk 55.3% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games, 27.0% more than he's made overall this season.

The Washington Wizards have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

Away from home, the Raptors have given up the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

As a team, the Washington Wizards have been great at drawing fouls while at home: 10th-best in the league this year, averaging 23.0 free throws per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kristaps Porzingis has accumulated 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the league (91st percentile).

The matchup vs. Toronto is a challenging one; when the Raptors are on the road, they have allowed the 13th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PFs this year (12.6).

The Raptors have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the Wizards.

The Washington Wizards have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. Toronto is a difficult one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted just 2.2 free throws per game this year when the Raptors are away from home (15th-least in the NBA).

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