Kristaps Porzingis Points - Player Prop Bet 2/16/2023

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Kristaps Porzingis

NBA · Player Props

Kristaps Porzingis

F-C · Washington Wizards

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Washington Wizards · Feb 16, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Kristaps Porzingis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -103.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kristaps Porzingis has averaged 27.8 points per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 5.9 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year on the road.
Kristaps Porzingis has played 32.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 84th percentile.
The Washington Wizards have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.
The matchup vs. Kyle Anderson is a good one for threes; when Anderson is at home opposing starting PFs this year, they have made an enormous 1.7 3-pointers per game (83rd percentile).
The Washington Wizards have played at the 10th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games on the road.

Favors Under

Kristaps Porzingis has committed 4.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 1.4 higher than he's committed in all games this year on the road.
The Washington Wizards have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Kristaps Porzingis will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally worsens stat production for all stats.

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