Kristaps Porzingis Points - Player Prop Bet 2/14/2023

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Kristaps Porzingis

NBA · Player Props

Kristaps Porzingis

F-C · Washington Wizards

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Washington Wizards · Feb 14, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Kristaps Porzingis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kristaps Porzingis has scored 28.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.8 more than he's scored in all games this season.
Kristaps Porzingis has sunk 3.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season.
Kristaps Porzingis has been on the court for 32.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 85th percentile.
The Washington Wizards rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games when playing away from home.
The Washington Wizards have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games while on the road.

Favors Under

The matchup against Portland is a difficult one for 3-pointers; the opposing team's starting PFs have put up the 21st-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA over the last 20 games when the Trail Blazers are on their home court (32.7%).
The Trail Blazers have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace in the NBA this year, which should reduce possessions for the Wizards.
The Washington Wizards have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
Kristaps Porzingis will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to worsens stat production in all stat categories.

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