Kristaps Porzingis Points - Player Prop Bet 2/13/2023

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Kristaps Porzingis

NBA · Player Props

Kristaps Porzingis

F-C · Washington Wizards

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Washington Wizards · Feb 13, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Kristaps Porzingis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kristaps Porzingis has averaged 28.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.6 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season.
Kristaps Porzingis has successfully made 3.4 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's sunk in all games this season.
The Washington Wizards check in as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road.
The matchup vs. Draymond Green is a strong one for attempts from downtown; when matched up against opposing starting PFs this year, they have attempted a whopping 4.8 shots from downtown per game (89th percentile).
The Washington Wizards have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage.

Favors Under

Kristaps Porzingis has averaged 4.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing on the road, 1.1 more than he's averaged over the course of the year on the road.
The Washington Wizards have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Kristaps Porzingis will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage tends to lowers stat production across the board.

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