Kristaps Porzingis Points - Player Prop Bet 2/11/2023

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Kristaps Porzingis

NBA · Player Props

Kristaps Porzingis

F-C · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs Indiana Pacers · Feb 11, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Kristaps Porzingis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kristaps Porzingis has averaged 28.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 5.5 more than he's averaged overall this season.
Kristaps Porzingis has converted 3.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's made from three overall this season.
The Washington Wizards check in as the 10th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.
The matchup against Aaron Nesmith is a strong one for three-point attempts; when Nesmith is on the road and squaring off against fellow starting PFs this year, they have attempted an enormous 5.0 threes per game (81st percentile).
Kristaps Porzingis has attempted 8.9 free throws per game over the last 7 games while at home, 2.3 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year at home.

Favors Under

Kristaps Porzingis has tallied 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's tallied overall this season.
The Washington Wizards have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games playing at home.
The Pacers have played at the 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court, which ought to reduce plays for the Wizards.
The Washington Wizards rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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