Kristaps Porzingis Points - Player Prop Bet 2/8/2023

NBA · Player Props

Kristaps Porzingis

F-C · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs Charlotte Hornets · Feb 8, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Kristaps Porzingis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-118/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kristaps Porzingis has posted 22.4 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league by this standard: 94th percentile.
Kristaps Porzingis has successfully made 42.4% of his three-pointers with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 85th percentile among all players in the league.
The Washington Wizards check in as the 9th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The matchup vs. P.J. Washington is a favorable one for three-pointers; when squaring off against opposing starting PFs this year, they have finished with a monstrous 1.4 treys per game (3rd percentile).
The Hornets have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Wizards.

Favors Under

Kristaps Porzingis has averaged 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's averaged in all games this year.
The matchup vs. Charlotte is a hard one for threes; the opposition's starting PFs have shot for the 24th-lowest 3-point rate in the league over the last 20 games when the Hornets are on the road (39.7%).
The Washington Wizards have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage.
The Washington Wizards rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Hornets have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (12.8) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).