Kristaps Porzingis Points - Player Prop Bet 2/6/2023

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Kristaps Porzingis

NBA · Player Props

Kristaps Porzingis

F-C · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Feb 6, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Kristaps Porzingis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-115/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kristaps Porzingis has attempted 15.3 shots from the field per game this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Kristaps Porzingis has successfully made 42.4% of his three-point shots on his home court this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile among all players in the NBA.
The Washington Wizards rank as the 10th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games in terms of 3-point attempts.
The Cavaliers have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
Kristaps Porzingis has attempted 8.9 free throws per game over the last 7 games while at home, 2.2 higher than he's attempted overall this season at home.

Favors Under

Kristaps Porzingis has tallied 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year.
The matchup against the Cavaliers is a difficult one for three-pointers; the other team have shot for the 2nd-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA over the last 25 games (39.4%).
The matchup against the Cavaliers is a tough one for shots from the field; the other team's starting SFs have posted the 2nd-lowest Field Goal% in the league over the last 5 games (40.6%).
The Washington Wizards have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 10 games playing at home.
The Cavaliers have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Wizards.

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