Kristaps Porzingis Points - Player Prop Bet 1/30/2023

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Kristaps Porzingis

NBA · Player Props

Kristaps Porzingis

F-C · Washington Wizards

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Washington Wizards · Jan 30, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Kristaps Porzingis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kristaps Porzingis has successfully made 3.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this year.
Kristaps Porzingis has converted 7.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's made in all games this season.
Kristaps Porzingis has tallied 32.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 85th percentile.
The Washington Wizards rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (which also lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Wizards have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to increase possessions for the Spurs.

Favors Under

Kristaps Porzingis has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (93rd percentile).
The Spurs have allowed the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the league to opposing teams over the last 25 games at home (which also reduces additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Spurs may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; opposing clubs have attempted a mere 24.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (10th-least in the NBA).
The Washington Wizards check in as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
Kristaps Porzingis will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally decreases player production for all stats.

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