Kristaps Porzingis Points - Player Prop Bet 1/16/2023

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Kristaps Porzingis

NBA · Player Props

Kristaps Porzingis

F-C · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs Golden State Warriors · Jan 16, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Kristaps Porzingis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kristaps Porzingis has scored 22.0 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 93rd percentile.
Kristaps Porzingis has attempted 15.5 shots from the field per game this year, putting him in the 89th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Kristaps Porzingis has attempted 8.9 foul shots per game over the last 7 games playing at home, 2.6 more than he's attempted overall this year at home.
Kristaps Porzingis has played 31.8 minutes per game while at home this year, placing him in the 84th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
The Washington Wizards have been the 9th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.

Favors Under

The matchup against the Warriors is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the other team have attempted just 26.3 foul shots per game this year (least in the NBA).
The matchup against the Warriors is a hard one; while playing away from home they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to the other team this year (123.7).
The Washington Wizards rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which also reduces additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Warriors is a tough one for threes; the opposing team's starting PFs have shot for the 7th-lowest three rate in the league since the start of last season (28.9%).

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