Kristaps Porzingis Points - Player Prop Bet 1/9/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Kristaps Porzingis

F-C · Washington Wizards

Points

Washington Wizards vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 9, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Kristaps Porzingis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kristaps Porzingis has posted 23.8 points per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 95th percentile -- among the best in the NBA by this metric.
Kristaps Porzingis has converted 2.6 treys per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Kristaps Porzingis has attempted 8.9 free throws per game over the last 7 games while playing at home, 2.5 more than he's attempted over the course of the year at home.
Kristaps Porzingis has played 32.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 86th percentile.
The Washington Wizards check in as the 7th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA since the start of last season while on their home court.

Favors Under

The matchup against the Pelicans is a difficult one for attempts from downtown; without the home court advantage, opposing squads have tallied the 10th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (36.7).
The Washington Wizards have been the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (which also eliminates additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Wizards have played at the 9th-slowest pace-of-play in the league since the start of last season, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Pelicans.
The matchup vs. the Pelicans is a hard one for shots from the field; opposing starting PFs have tallied the 3rd-least FG attempts per game in the NBA since the start of last season (10.3).
The matchup against the Pelicans may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 2.1 free throws per game this year (3rd-least in the NBA).