Kristaps Porzingis Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/29/2024

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Kristaps Porzingis

NBA · Player Props

Kristaps Porzingis

F-C · Boston Celtics

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics · Apr 29, 2024

Updated Apr 29, 2024 11:26 PM EST

Analysis

Kristaps Porzingis Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-155/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kristaps Porzingis has attempted 5.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, putting him in the 84th percentile out of all players in the league.
Kristaps Porzingis has averaged 29.7 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 80th percentile.
The matchup vs. Bam Adebayo is a positive one for three-point shots; when Adebayo is at home opposing starting Cs this year, they have converted a massive 34.5% of their three-point attempts (94th percentile).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Celtics grade out 7th-best in in the NBA away from their home court with 11.5 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Kristaps Porzingis lands in the 93rd percentile for personal fouls, registering a colossal 2.8 fouls per game this year.
The Celtics have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games as the road team.
The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should reduce possessions for the Celtics.
Kristaps Porzingis will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to decrease stat production across the board.

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