Kristaps Porzingis Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/27/2024

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Kristaps Porzingis

NBA · Player Props

Kristaps Porzingis

F-C · Boston Celtics

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics · Apr 27, 2024

Updated Apr 27, 2024 10:03 PM EST

Analysis

Kristaps Porzingis Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-159/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -155 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -159.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kristaps Porzingis has attempted 5.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game away from home this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Kristaps Porzingis has played 29.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 80th percentile.
The rate of shots from downtown scored against Bam Adebayo has been quite high (33.2%) when he is playing at home and matched up against fellow starting Cs this year (81st percentile).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce further chances for scoring and assists, and the Celtics grade out 7th-best in in the NBA while on the road with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Kristaps Porzingis places in the 93rd percentile for personal fouls, putting up a monstrous 2.8 fouls per game this year.
The Boston Celtics have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing away from home.
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the league this year, which should decrease plays for the Celtics.
Kristaps Porzingis stands to suffer a drop-off in efficiency in all stat categories considering playing away from home in this contest.

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