Kristaps Porzingis Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/1/2023

NBA · Player Props

Kristaps Porzingis

F-C · Boston Celtics

Made 3 Point Shots

Boston Celtics vs Indiana Pacers · Nov 1, 2023

Updated Nov 1, 2023 11:37 PM EST

Analysis

Kristaps Porzingis Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-160/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +130 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kristaps Porzingis has sunk 2.1 threes per game on the road since the start of last season, ranking him in the 88th percentile out of all players in the league.
The Celtics rank as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the NBA as the home team since the start of last season in terms of shots from behind the three-point arc.
The matchup vs. Indiana is a good one for threes; when the Pacers are on their home court, the opposition's starting Cs have compiled the 27th-highest three percentage in the league since the start of last season (39.4%).
The Celtics are expected to get a boost in plays in this contest from competing against the 3rd-speediest pace offense in the NBA since the start of last season (the Indiana Pacers).
Kristaps Porzingis will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage usually increases stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

Kristaps Porzingis has committed 3.1 personal fouls per game on the road since the start of last season, placing him in the 94th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The Celtics have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA on their home court since the start of last season.
The Celtics have been the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the away team since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Since the start of last season, opposing teams have captured 12.1 offensive boards per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Indiana Pacers (maintaining possessions that can bring about extra opportunities for offense).