Kristaps Porzingis Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/12/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Kristaps Porzingis

F-C · Washington Wizards

Made 3 Point Shots

Philadelphia 76ers vs Washington Wizards · Mar 12, 2023

Updated Mar 12, 2023 10:07 PM EST

Analysis

Kristaps Porzingis Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+124/-158).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +126 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kristaps Porzingis has made 55.3% of his treys over the last 5 games, 27.0% more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the year.
Kristaps Porzingis has been on the court for 28.5 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 77th percentile.
The Washington Wizards have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing away from home.
Playing at home, the 76ers have allowed the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the league to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Kristaps Porzingis has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game on the road this year, placing him in the 88th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The matchup against the 76ers is a hard one for 3-pointers; the other team's starting PFs have averaged the 12th-least three-point shots per game in the league this year (1.1).
The 76ers have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Wizards.
The Washington Wizards rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Kristaps Porzingis will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road tends to decreases stat production in all facets of the game.