Kristaps Porzingis Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/1/2024

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Kristaps Porzingis

NBA · Player Props

Kristaps Porzingis

F-C · Boston Celtics

Assists

Charlotte Hornets vs Boston Celtics · Apr 1, 2024

Updated Apr 1, 2024 11:16 PM EST

Analysis

Kristaps Porzingis Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kristaps Porzingis has averaged 29.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 80th percentile.
The Boston Celtics check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Kristaps Porzingis has tallied 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year.
The Boston Celtics have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games without the home court advantage.
The Boston Celtics will likely suffer a drop-off in plays today from sharing the court with the 3rd-slowest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Charlotte Hornets).
Kristaps Porzingis will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens stat production across the board.

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