Kristaps Porzingis Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/4/2024

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Kristaps Porzingis

NBA · Player Props

Kristaps Porzingis

F-C · Boston Celtics

Assists

Boston Celtics vs Memphis Grizzlies · Feb 4, 2024

Updated Feb 4, 2024 11:03 PM EST

Analysis

Kristaps Porzingis Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-188/+152).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -174 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +152.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kristaps Porzingis has compiled 2.8 assists per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 0.9 more than he's compiled in all games this year at home.
Out of all players in the league, Kristaps Porzingis slots into the 76th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 29.9 minutes per game while on his home court this year.
The Celtics are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this game from facing the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play away offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Memphis Grizzlies).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Celtics grade out 10thbest in in the league on their home court with 10.8 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.
Kristaps Porzingis will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home generally improves player performance in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Kristaps Porzingis measures in the 94th percentile for personal fouls, logging an enormous 2.9 fouls per game this year.
The 3rd-slowest tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Celtics.
Away from their home court, the Memphis Grizzlies have allowed the 5th-most offensive boards per game (11.1) in the NBA to the other team over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

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