Kristaps Porzingis Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/11/2024

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Kristaps Porzingis

NBA · Player Props

Kristaps Porzingis

F-C · Boston Celtics

Assists

Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics · Jan 11, 2024

Updated Jan 12, 2024 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Kristaps Porzingis Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-170/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -170 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -170.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kristaps Porzingis has been on the court for 30.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 77th percentile.
The Boston Celtics will likely get a boost in possessions today from being pitted against the most up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA this year (the Milwaukee Bucks).
The Boston Celtics have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Kristaps Porzingis has tallied 2.7 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The 10th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league this year has been the Celtics.
Over the last 20 games when they are away from home, opposing teams have collected 12.0 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) vs. the Bucks (maintaining possessions that can bring about extra opportunities for offense).
Kristaps Porzingis will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road usually worsens stat production across the board.

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