Kristaps Porzingis Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/2/2024

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Kristaps Porzingis

NBA · Player Props

Kristaps Porzingis

F-C · Boston Celtics

Assists

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Boston Celtics · Jan 2, 2024

Updated Jan 3, 2024 12:53 AM EST

Analysis

Kristaps Porzingis Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kristaps Porzingis has tallied 30.7 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 80th percentile.
The Thunder have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 15 games with the home court advantage, which ought to increase possessions for the Celtics.
The Boston Celtics have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Kristaps Porzingis places in the 94th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a monstrous 3.1 fouls per game away from home this year.
The Celtics have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Thunder have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.0) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Kristaps Porzingis will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling tends to worsen stat production in all stat categories.

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