Kristaps Porzingis Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/25/2023

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Kristaps Porzingis

NBA · Player Props

Kristaps Porzingis

F-C · Boston Celtics

Assists

Los Angeles Lakers vs Boston Celtics · Dec 25, 2023

Updated Dec 25, 2023 9:52 PM EST

Analysis

Kristaps Porzingis Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Kristaps Porzingis comes in at the 77th percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 30.2 minutes per game this year.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to raise opportunities for the Boston Celtics.
Offensive rebounds save possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Celtics grade out 3rdbest in in the NBA with 13.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
The Lakers have given up the 5th-least offensive boards per game (9.9) in the NBA to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Kristaps Porzingis comes in at the 94th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a colossal 3.2 fouls per game without the home court advantage this year.
The 5th-least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Boston Celtics.
Kristaps Porzingis will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally worsens player production across the board.

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