Kristaps Porzingis Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/17/2023

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Kristaps Porzingis

NBA · Player Props

Kristaps Porzingis

F-C · Boston Celtics

Assists

Boston Celtics vs Orlando Magic · Dec 17, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 7:54 PM EST

Analysis

Kristaps Porzingis Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Boston Celtics are expected to see an increase in opportunities today from being pitted against the 6th-quickest tempo away team in the league over the last 5 games (the Magic).
The Boston Celtics have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 13 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, opposing teams have brought down 9.3 offensive boards per game (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Orlando Magic (turning over possessions that could otherwise spark additional opportunities for offense).
Kristaps Porzingis stands to see an increase in efficiency in all facets of the game as a result of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Kristaps Porzingis places in the 93rd percentile for personal fouls, putting up a massive 3.0 fouls per game while at home this year.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games.

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