Kristaps Porzingis Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/24/2023

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Kristaps Porzingis

NBA · Player Props

Kristaps Porzingis

F-C · Boston Celtics

Assists

Orlando Magic vs Boston Celtics · Nov 24, 2023

Updated Nov 24, 2023 11:18 PM EST

Analysis

Kristaps Porzingis Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+150/-195).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last year's 32.2 rate, Kristaps Porzingis's playing time has increased this year to 32.1 minutes per game.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home court, which ought to increase opportunities for the Boston Celtics.
The Celtics check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 9 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Magic have given up the least offensive boards per game (8.1) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Kristaps Porzingis has put up a mere 1.9 assists per game this year, quite a bit less than his 2.7 assists per game last year.
Out of all players in the league, Kristaps Porzingis registers in the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, logging a massive 3.3 fouls per game when playing on the road this year.
The 4th-most sluggish tempo home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Boston Celtics.
Kristaps Porzingis stands to experience a decrease in effectiveness across the board due to playing on the visting team in this contest.

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