Kristaps Porzingis Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/28/2023

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Kristaps Porzingis

NBA · Player Props

Kristaps Porzingis

F-C · Washington Wizards

Assists

Washington Wizards vs Boston Celtics · Mar 28, 2023

Updated Mar 28, 2023 10:46 PM EST

Analysis

Kristaps Porzingis Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +130 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kristaps Porzingis has compiled 3.5 assists per game over the last 10 games on his home court, 0.9 more than he's compiled overall this season at home.
Kristaps Porzingis has played 31.8 minutes per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 85th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
The Celtics have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Wizards.
The Celtics have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Kristaps Porzingis will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home usually improves player performance for all stats.

Favors Under

Kristaps Porzingis has averaged 2.9 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 91st percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Washington Wizards have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Washington Wizards check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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