Kristaps Porzingis Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/8/2023

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Kristaps Porzingis

NBA · Player Props

Kristaps Porzingis

F-C · Washington Wizards

Assists

Washington Wizards vs Atlanta Hawks · Mar 8, 2023

Updated Mar 9, 2023 12:13 AM EST

Analysis

Kristaps Porzingis Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kristaps Porzingis has put up 4.6 assists per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.2 higher than he's put up overall this season at home.
The Washington Wizards have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Away from their home court, the Hawks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (5.8) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Kristaps Porzingis will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home tends to increases player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Kristaps Porzingis has committed 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the league (91st percentile).
The Hawks have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Wizards.
The Washington Wizards rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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