Kris Murray Steals - Player Prop Bet 3/9/2024

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Kris Murray

NBA · Player Props

Kris Murray

F · Portland Trail Blazers

Steals

Portland Trail Blazers vs Toronto Raptors · Mar 9, 2024

Updated Mar 10, 2024 3:27 AM EST

Analysis

Kris Murray Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+155/-200).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +160 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kris Murray has posted 0.9 steals per game this year at home, ranking him among the best in the NBA by this metric over this stretch: 78th percentile.
Kris Murray has averaged 30.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 14.2 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.
The Raptors have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should boost plays for the Trail Blazers.
Kris Murray will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage generally raises player production across the board.

Favors Under

Kris Murray has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 2.0 more than he's committed overall this season at home.
The 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Trail Blazers.

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