Kris Murray Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/4/2024

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Kris Murray

NBA · Player Props

Kris Murray

F · Portland Trail Blazers

Rebounds

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Portland Trail Blazers · Mar 4, 2024

Updated Mar 5, 2024 1:01 AM EST

Analysis

Kris Murray Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kris Murray has put up 2.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's put up over the course of the year.
Kris Murray has tallied 32.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 16.7 more than he's tallied overall this season.
The Trail Blazers have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
This year, their opposition has captured 10.3 offensive boards per game (9th-lowest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves (losing possessions that could otherwise lead to bonus chances for offense).

Favors Under

Kris Murray has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's tallied over the course of the year.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Timberwolves have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Trail Blazers.
Kris Murray will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally lowers player production for all stats.

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