Kris Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2025

reorder

NBA · Player Props

Kris Murray

F · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Portland Trail Blazers · Feb 28, 2025

Updated Mar 1, 2025 3:54 AM EST

Analysis

Kris Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kris Murray has averaged 1.0 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 21st percentile -- among the NBA's least foul-prone.
The matchup against Cameron Johnson is a good one for three-point shots; when squaring off against fellow starting PFs this year, they have successfully made a colossal 41.3% of their three-point attempts (100th percentile).
The most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Portland Trail Blazers.
The Trail Blazers have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Brooklyn is a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 3.9 foul shots per game this year when the Brooklyn Nets are playing at home (10th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Relative to last year's 5.9 mark, Kris Murray's shots have regressed this year to 3.6 per game.
Kris Murray has tallied a lowly 13.5 minutes per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 21.7 minutes per game last year.
With respect to offense, the Portland Trail Blazers's lackluster 106.8 points per game without the home court advantage measures as the 4th-lowest in the NBA this year.
The matchup against the Nets is a hard one; they have given up the 3rd-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting PFs this year (14.6).
The Nets have played at the most sluggish pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Portland Trail Blazers.