Kris Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 4/11/2024

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Kris Murray

NBA · Player Props

Kris Murray

F · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 11, 2024

Updated Apr 12, 2024 2:09 AM EST

Analysis

Kris Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-128/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kris Murray has converted 53.1% of his shots from the field over the last 10 games at home, 7.5% more than he's put through the net in all games this season when playing at home.
Kris Murray has sunk 2.6 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.5 more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year playing at home.
Kris Murray has been on the court for 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 12.6 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year at home.
The Trail Blazers will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from competing against the 9th-quickest pace away team in the league this year (the Golden State Warriors).
The Trail Blazers rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the home team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Kris Murray has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's committed overall this year.
With respect to shooting, the Trail Blazers's unimpressive 102.1 points per game rates 2nd-lowest in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The matchup against Golden State is a hard one for three-pointers; when the Warriors are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SGs have put up the lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (21.6%).
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 5th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games playing at home.

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