Kris Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2024

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Kris Murray

NBA · Player Props

Kris Murray

F · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Miami Heat vs Portland Trail Blazers · Mar 29, 2024

Updated Mar 30, 2024 12:02 AM EST

Analysis

Kris Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kris Murray has attempted 10.6 shots per game over the last 5 games, 5.4 higher than he's attempted overall this year.
Kris Murray has attempted 5.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 higher than he's attempted overall this year.
Kris Murray has tallied 32.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 12.9 more than he's tallied in all games this year.
The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a positive one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; opposing starting SGs have tallied the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.3).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark added chances for scoring and assists, and the Trail Blazers rank 3rd-best in in the NBA with 12.9 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

Favors Under

The Trail Blazers rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA as the road team this year.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 7th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
The Trail Blazers will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Miami Heat).
Kris Murray will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally worsens stat production in all stat categories.

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