Kris Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 3/25/2024

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Kris Murray

NBA · Player Props

Kris Murray

F · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Houston Rockets vs Portland Trail Blazers · Mar 25, 2024

Updated Mar 26, 2024 12:02 AM EST

Analysis

Kris Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kris Murray has sunk 5.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.9 more than he's put through the net in all games this year.
Kris Murray has attempted 4.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.9 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Kris Murray has tallied 32.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 13.2 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season.
The Trail Blazers are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-fastest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Rockets).
The Portland Trail Blazers check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Kris Murray has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's accumulated overall this year.
The Portland Trail Blazers rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year.
The matchup vs. Houston is a tough one for three-pointers; when the Houston Rockets are at home, opposing starting SFs have put up the 2nd-lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (26.1%).
The Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.
Kris Murray will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally lowers player production for all stats.

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