Kris Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 3/20/2024

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Kris Murray

NBA · Player Props

Kris Murray

F · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs LA Clippers · Mar 20, 2024

Updated Mar 21, 2024 2:02 AM EST

Analysis

Kris Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-122/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -143 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kris Murray has converted 50.8% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games at home, 6.4% higher than he's converted overall this year while on his home court.
Kris Murray has attempted 4.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.3 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season at home.
Kris Murray has tallied 29.3 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 11.4 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year.
The Trail Blazers have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league as the home team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Kris Murray ought to get a boost in effectiveness in all facets of the game in light of owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Kris Murray has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games when playing at home, 0.9 more than he's been called for in all games this year at home.
With respect to scoring, the Trail Blazers's unimpressive 107.7 points per game ranks 3rd-worst in the league this year.
This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting SFs have averaged 43.3% on shot attempts from the field (5th-weakest in the league) vs. the LA Clippers, labeling this as a hard matchup.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the league while playing at home this year.
The Portland Trail Blazers will likely see a decline in opportunities in this contest from facing the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the LA Clippers).

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