Kris Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 3/11/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Kris Murray

F · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Boston Celtics · Mar 11, 2024

Updated Mar 12, 2024 2:31 AM EST

Analysis

Kris Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-134/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -132 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -134.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Kris Murray has attempted 8.2 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 3.7 higher than he's attempted overall this season.
Kris Murray has attempted 3.9 treys per game over the last 10 games, 1.7 more than he's attempted overall this year.
Kris Murray has been on the court for 31.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 14.2 more than he's been on the court for in all games this year.
This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged 6.7 three attempts per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Boston Celtics, marking this as a favorable matchup.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Trail Blazers grade out best in in the league while on their home court with 13.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

Kris Murray has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 1.4 more than he's been called for overall this season at home.
In regard to scoring, the Portland Trail Blazers's lackluster 108.1 points per game settles in as the 3rd-worst in the NBA this year.
The 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Trail Blazers.
The Celtics have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games away from their home city, which ought to decrease plays for the Trail Blazers.
The matchup vs. Boston may be a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 1.5 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Celtics are away from home (5th-least in the NBA).